Saturday 25 August 2018

Refugees and the ALP in 2022

I suggested on this blog years ago setting up a refugee processing centre in Jakarta but no-one took up the idea. And every week there is another story about refugees on Manus Island or Nauru and how they should be brought to Australia and resettled. It sounds so easy and there is support for refugees in the community, yet the problem of irregular boat arrivals is not going away. Even with the Coalition in government they still set out from Indonesian beaches and end up being turned back by the Navy. The attractions of stable democracy and the benefits it brings seemingly overcome any barriers put in the way of people who want a safe, prosperous life.

Even with Morrison now as prime minister it still looks like the Australian Labor Party (ALP) will be elected to power federally in 2019 but they will not last two terms if they allow irregular boat arrivals to restart. The reaction from the broader community will be decisive, and ALP strategists know it. Which is why they are sitting tight on refugee policy, and insisting that offshore detention will continue. They tip-toe around the issue as if it were a live grenade.

People who want refugees currently living on Manus Island and Nauru to come to Australia will have to vote Green. There is no other option for them. And they should be encouraging their friends and relatives to vote Green as well. The more the merrier, as far as getting the refugees in offshore camps resettled in the community here goes.

The Murdoch press and the Coalition will not let the ALP rest easy, despite the encouraging signs we got from the by-elections held on 28 July. These two groups of people will be keeping an eagle eye on every policy announcement the ALP makes in the run-up to the elections that look likely to be held in May next year. Any sign of weakness on refugees will result in swift action in the media, as the right gets ready to fight for the right to govern for the next three years. And once the ALP wins – as it looks like they must – they will have to be extra-careful to make sure no new irregular boat arrivals bringing refugees from Indonesia makes its way to the mainland. To do anything else would be  electoral suicide, and the next poll would be due in 2022.

1 comment:

Unknown said...

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